{"id":421,"date":"2017-04-28T13:08:11","date_gmt":"2017-04-28T05:08:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/xg1990.com\/blog\/?p=421"},"modified":"2017-05-12T14:35:35","modified_gmt":"2017-05-12T06:35:35","slug":"%e6%9c%aa%e6%9d%a5%e7%9a%84%e7%a7%91%e5%ad%a6","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/xg1990.com\/blog\/archives\/421","title":{"rendered":"\u672a\u6765\u7684\u79d1\u5b66"},"content":{"rendered":"

1.\u00a0 \u79d1\u5b66\u7684\u672c\u8d28<\/h3>\n

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2.\u00a0 \u79d1\u7814\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\u662f\u89e3\u51b3\u95ee\u9898<\/h3>\n

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3.\u00a0 \u672a\u6765\u7684\u79d1\u7814<\/h3>\n

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4.\u00a0 \u4e2a\u4eba\u7684\u53d1\u5c55<\/h3>\n

\u8bb8\u591a\u79d1\u7814\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u5f85\u9047\u4f4e\u3001\u538b\u529b\u5927\uff0c\u672c\u8d28\u4e0a\u4e5f\u662f\u8fd9\u4e00\u8d8b\u52bf\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u540e\u679c\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u7814\u7a76\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u7684\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u5176\u56de\u62a5\u9010\u6e10\u8d8b\u8fd1\u4e8e\u76f8\u5e94\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u793e\u4f1a\u8d21\u732e\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u6709\u5546\u4e1a\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u884c\u4e1a\u81ea\u7136\u80fd\u591f\u901a\u8fc7\u5546\u4e1a\u5316\u83b7\u53d6\u9ad8\u989d\u56de\u62a5\u3002\u800c\u90a3\u4e9b\u4e0d\u76f4\u63a5\u7ed9\u793e\u4f1a\u521b\u9020\u4ef7\u503c\u7684\u5b66\u8005\u81ea\u7136\u4f1a\u5f97\u5230\u76f8\u5bf9\u8f83\u4f4e\u7684\u56de\u62a5\u3002<\/p>\n

\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5728\u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u4e0b\uff0c\u4efb\u4f55\u52b3\u52a8\u8005\u6240\u521b\u9020\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5e76\u4e0d\u662f\u5355\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u53d6\u51b3\u4e8e\u52b3\u52a8\u8005\u672c\u8eab\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u53d7\u5230\u4e70\u5356\u53cc\u65b9\u5e02\u573a\u7684\u5236\u7ea6\u3002\u5982\u679c\u4f9b\u8fc7\u4e8e\u6c42\uff0c\u52b3\u52a8\u8005\u5355\u4f4d\u65f6\u95f4\u521b\u9020\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u5fc5\u7136\u51cf\u5c11\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u5404\u65b9\u9762\u539f\u56e0\uff0c\u5927\u91cf\u6bd5\u4e1a\u751f\u8ddf\u98ce\u8bfb\u535a\uff0c\u4f46\u662f\u56fd\u5bb6\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u79d1\u7814\u8d44\u52a9\u5374\u9010\u6e10\u7f29\u51cf\u5230\u57fa\u7840\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u8fd9\u4e5f\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u964d\u4f4e\u79d1\u7814\u5de5\u4f5c\u8005\u7684\u5f85\u9047\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e8e\u79d1\u7814\u4ece\u4e1a\u8005\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u8fd9\u4e00\u73b0\u72b6\u7684\u9014\u5f84\u53ea\u6709\u300e\u7528\u811a\u6295\u7968\u300f\uff1a\u901a\u8fc7\u6539\u884c\u6765\u51cf\u5c11\u672c\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4f9b\u5e94\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u63d0\u5347\u5176\u4ed6\u540c\u884c\u7684\u4ef7\u683c\u3002\u5728\u8bb8\u591a\u8fc7\u70ed\u9886\u57df\uff08\u6bd4\u5982\u751f\u7269\u3001\u5316\u5b66\uff09\u5df2\u7ecf\u6d8c\u73b0\u51fa\u4e86\u8bb8\u591a\u8fd9\u6837\u7684\u4f8b\u5b50\uff0c\u5e76\u5f62\u6210\u4e86\u4e00\u80a1\u8f6c\u884c\u98ce\u6c14[10]<\/a>\u3002\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5982\u6b64\uff0c\u8f6c\u884c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u80fd\u591f\u6539\u5584\u672c\u4e13\u4e1a\u540c\u884c\u7684\u5f85\u9047\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u662f\u4e00\u6b21\u6539\u5584\u81ea\u5df1\u751f\u5b58\u72b6\u6001\u7684\u673a\u4f1a\u3002 \u5e02\u573a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u89c4\u5219\u4e0b\uff0c\u6240\u6709\u4eba\u624d\u7684\u81ea\u7531\u6d41\u52a8\u624d\u80fd\u7ed9\u6574\u4e2a\u793e\u4f1a\u5e26\u6765\u5168\u5c40\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\uff0c\u8fd9\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u53cc\u8d62\u7684\u9009\u62e9\u3002<\/p>\n

\u4f46\u8fd9\u5e76\u4e0d\u610f\u5473\u7740\u9ad8\u5b66\u5386\u4f1a\u7ed9\u4eba\u5e26\u6765\u804c\u4e1a\u53d1\u5c55\u4e0a\u7684\u56f0\u6270\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u7684\u95ee\u9898\u4ec5\u4ec5\u53ea\u662f\u4f9b\u9700\u5173\u7cfb\u4e0d\u5e73\u8861\u6240\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u3002\u5728\u4eba\u5de5\u667a\u80fd\u9010\u6e10\u53d6\u4ee3\u4f4e\u7aef\u52b3\u52a8\u529b\u7684\u672a\u6765\uff0c\u4f4e\u5b66\u5386\u7684\u52b3\u52a8\u4f1a\u9010\u6e10\u88ab\u673a\u5668\u6240\u53d6\u4ee3\uff0c\u9ad8\u5b66\u5386\u9010\u6e10\u4f1a\u6210\u4e3a\u627e\u5de5\u4f5c\u7684\u5fc5\u8981\u6761\u4ef6\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003\u8d44\u6599\uff1a<\/h3>\n

[1]<\/a> https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/wiki\/%E7%A7%91%E5%AD%A6<\/a> \u3002\u79d1\u5b78\uff08\u82f1\u8bed\uff1aScience\uff0c\u5e0c\u814a\u8bed\uff1a\u0395\u03c0\u03b9\u03c3\u03c4\u03ae\u03bc\u03b7\uff09\u662f\u901a\u904e\u5be6\u9a57\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c0d\u73fe\u8c61\uff08\u539f\u4f86\u6307\u81ea\u7136\u73fe\u8c61\uff0c\u73fe\u6cdb\u6307\u5305\u62ec\u793e\u6703\u73fe\u8c61\u7b49\u73fe\u8c61\uff09\u9032\u884c\u6b78\u56e0\u7684\u5b66\u79d1\u3002\u00a0 \u79d1\u5b66\u539f\u4ec5\u6307\u5bf9\u81ea\u7136\u73b0\u8c61\u4e4b\u89c4\u5f8b\u7684\u63a2\u7d22\u4e0e\u603b\u7ed3\uff0c\u4f46\u4eba\u6587\u5b66\u79d1\u4e5f\u88ab\u8d8a\u6765\u8d8a\u591a\u5730\u51a0\u4ee5\u300e\u79d1\u5b66\u300f\u4e4b\u540d\u3002\u00a0 \u79d1\u5b66\u5728\u8ba4\u8bc6\u81ea\u7136\u7684\u4e0d\u540c\u5c42\u9762\u4e0a\u8bbe\u6cd5\u89e3\u51b3\u5404\u79cd\u5177\u4f53\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u5f3a\u8c03\u9884\u6d4b\u7ed3\u679c\u7684\u5177\u4f53\u6027\u548c\u53ef\u8bc1\u4f2a\u6027\uff0c\u8fd9\u6709\u522b\u4e8e\u7a7a\u6cdb\u7684\u54f2\u5b66\u3002\u79d1\u5b66\u4e5f\u4e0d\u7b49\u540c\u4e8e\u5bfb\u6c42\u7edd\u5bf9\u65e0\u8bef\u7684\u771f\u7406\uff0c\u800c\u662f\u5728\u73b0\u6709\u57fa\u7840\u4e0a\uff0c\u6478\u7d22\u5f0f\u5730\u4e0d\u65ad\u63a5\u8fd1\u771f\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

[2]<\/a> http:\/\/matt.might.net\/articles\/phd-school-in-pictures\/<\/a><\/p>\n

[3]<\/a> \u300aWhat Science Wants to Know\u300bhttps:\/\/www.scientificamerican.com\/article\/what-science-wants-to-kno\/<\/a> \uff0c\u4e2d\u6587\u7ffb\u8bd1\uff1ahttp:\/\/sa.ylib.com\/MagArticle.aspx?Unit=columns&id=1972<\/p>\n

[4]<\/a>\u300a\u5e84\u5b50\u00b7\u5185\u7bc7\u00b7\u517b\u751f\u4e3b\u7b2c\u4e09\u300b<\/p>\n

[5]<\/a> \u00a0https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/zh-hans\/\u54e5\u5fb7\u5c14\u4e0d\u5b8c\u5907\u5b9a\u7406<\/p>\n

[6]<\/a> \u00a0https:\/\/zh.wikipedia.org\/zh-hans\/\u7f57\u7d20\u6096\u8bba<\/p>\n

[7]<\/a> \u300a\u9053\u5fb7\u7ecf\u300b<\/p>\n

[8]<\/a> George Box “All models are wrong, some are useful.”\uff1a\u00a0 Box, G. E. P. in Robustness in Statistics (eds Launer, R. L. & Wilkinson, G. N.) (Academic Press, New York, 1979).<\/p>\n

[9]<\/a> \u300a\u4e2d\u79d1\u9662\u786e\u5b9a\u529e\u9662\u65b0\u65b9\u9488\uff1a\u201c\u4e09\u4e2a\u9762\u5411\u201d\u201c\u56db\u4e2a\u7387\u5148\u201d\u300bhttp:\/\/www.gov.cn\/xinwen\/2015-02\/13\/content_2818846.htm<\/a><\/p>\n

[10]<\/a> \u00a0\u77e5\u4e4e\u8bdd\u9898\uff1a\u751f\u7269\u529d\u9000\u00a0 https:\/\/www.zhihu.com\/topic\/20042479\/hot<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

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